Gambling College Football Picks
The best college football picks and predictions for Dec 13, 2020. Get our best NCAA football bets for today as well as news, scores, odds, and more!
Week 15 College Football Picks
College Football Gambling Picks
Coastal Carolina -13.5 at Troy: At 10-0 SU, Coastal Carolina has become the most popular team in college football. More importantly, to us bettors, they are money at 8-1-1 ATS. More importantly. College Football betting picks against the spread Week 14 2020. It’s a weekly occurrence to lose games to COVID. For now, we still have 44 games scheduled for our college football betting. Week 10 of college football features its biggest slate yet with all 10 FBS conferences in action. See the three best upset picks for Saturday, Nov.
VegasInsider.com College Football expert Kevin Davis provides his weekly Best Bets for this weekend’s college football slate.
He is locked and loaded with three selections for Saturday, December 12th, 2020.
- Minnesota at Nebraska (FS1, 12:00 p.m ET)
- Coastal Carolina at Troy (ESPN+, 3:00 p.m. ET)
- Alabama at Arkansas (ESPN, 12:00 p.m ET)
Minnesota at Nebraska
Best Bet: Minnesota Moneyline +310
In October before the Big Ten season started, Nebraska was projected to finish with a 4-4 record while Minnesota was projected to finish with a 5-3 record.
Both teams have nearly identical records, but the Gophers have been the biggest disappointment.
UM lost their season opener against a lackluster Michigan team, and then lost their next game as 18.5 point favorites in overtime against Maryland.
Nebraska like Minnesota has poorly performed this season, but the difference is Minnesota has been a bigger disappointment. The Gophers have missed their last two games because of COVID-19 and 20 of their players are out this week due to COVID-19 protocols. I believe the betting public and linemakers are overreacting to this news and that is why I am betting on Minnesota to win outright at +310 moneyline odds.
One reason why Nebraska has struggled this season is because it is unclear who their starting quarterback is.
Currently Adrian Martinez is the starting quarterback but despite having a completion percentage of 82% over his last two games, he only had one touchdown during that stretch. I believe that while Martinez is likely to complete most of his passes against Minnesota, he will have trouble finding the end zone against a Minnesota team that only allowed three passing touchdowns in their first four games. If the Gophers woeful rushing defense can contain the mediocre Huskers rushing offense, then I think the Gophers will win.
Coastal Carolina at Troy
Best Bet: Coastal Carolina -12.5
Last week my favorite of the week was BYU against Coastal Carolina, and I was wrong. CCU hosted BYU as 10-point underdogs and won outright, stopping the Cougars on the final play of the game.
While that game was close, the Chanticleers were playing a BYU team that up until last week had blown every team out with an aggressive offense and a great defense. This week, Coastal Carolina plays a Troy team that is 5-5 in one of the weakest conferences in the FBS.
Despite being undefeated with a 10-0 record, they are only ranked as the 13th best team in the FBS. To increase their ranking, CCU is likely to run up the score and try to make a statement before next week's Sun Belt Championship matchup vs. Louisiana.
Despite having a .500 record, Troy has yet to beat a team with a winning record this season. The main reason why the Trojans have done poorly is because of their anemic offense which averages only 25.8 points per game.
Last week Coastal Carolina held a BYU offense that averages 42.1 points per game to only 17 points.
Earlier in the season, the Chanticleers did not give up a single point to a Georgia State offense that averages 32.7 points per game. CCU is going to score in bunches against Troy, and Troy will not be able to score.
Alabama at Arkansas
Best Bet: Alabama Team Total Under 50
Alabama has a great offense led by quarterback Mac Jones. However, despite Alabama’s great offense, I believe 50 or more points is a high water mark and not the norm.
While Saturday's opponent, Arkansas, might deserve to be a 32.5 point underdog, they are not a complete doormat. The Razorbacks allow 33 points per game which while 92nd in the FBS, is still more than two touchdowns lower than the Crimson Tide’s team total.
I believe that Alabama will score between 40-49 points and that is why I am taking the under here.
Plus, the Razorbacks have had some impressive defensive games this season. Arkansas held Georgia to only 37, and they limited Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Auburn, Tennessee, and LSU to fewer than 30 points.
It is only recently in which Arkansas has played poor defense when they gave up 50 points to Missouri and 63 points to Kyle Trask and Florida.
For Alabama to go over their team total they must run up the score and Arkansas has to continue giving up points. I believe both are unlikely and that is why I'm playing the team total under (50) on the Crimson Tide.
Best Bet Tracker - Week 15
- Minnesota Money-Line +310
- Coastal Carolina -12.5
- Alabama Team Total Under 50
Saturday's SEC Action
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© Provided by Fansided© Provided by Fansided college football bettingSTATE COLLEGE, PA – NOVEMBER 30: A football rests on the field during the first half of the game between the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Beaver Stadium on November 30, 2019 in State College, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images)
College Football betting picks against the spread Week 3 2020
It was a disappointing week 2, as I ended up losing a few college football betting points on the truncated week. With 17 of the 21 scheduled games still going on this weekend, we have plenty of places to make up those points.
In case you don't know what I do here, I pick every FBS vs. FBS college football game of the season. Big deal, right? Lots of people make picks. Well, I do them all against the spread! I take the odds of each game and average them out at all the Vegas casinos and round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.
I also assign a point value based on the confidence I have in each pick. 1 means that I have little to no confidence. 5 is one I would place a decent wager on. I keep track of my record and my points back from year to year.
Games involving FCS vs. FCS schools and FBS vs. FCS schools will NOT be picked. Most of these lines are off the boards at the major casinos anyway. This year there are less of those games happening, and if there is enough demand, I make take a shot.
As we all well know, this is not an exact science. Due to the volatile nature of betting in general, this is for entertainment purposes only! I cannot be responsible for the loss of money, possessions, spouses, or limbs because of my picks. I can't have that on my conscious.
College Gameday is on the road this weekend, so there's some semblance of college football normalcy now. On to the picks!
© Provided by Fansided college football bettingBLOOMINGTON, IN – OCTOBER 29: Tyrrell Pigrome #3 of the Maryland Terrapins runs with the ball against the Indiana Hoosiers at Memorial Stadium on October 29, 2016 in Bloomington, Indiana. (Photo by G Fiume/Maryland Terrapins/Getty Images)
College football betting picks afternoon week 3:
Tulsa at (11)Oklahoma State(-23.5)(2): Man, that's a lot of points. However, I'm a believer in the Cowboys this year. They are my sleeper to win the Big 12(10). Of course, I'm not picking against the Sooners, but if I had to, you can damn sure bet it would be the Pokes and not the Horns. I'll double down on that and say the Pokes cover.
(19)Louisiana(-15.5) at Georgia State(3): This line opened just after kickoff in Ames last week with the Panthers favored by 18.5. It closed with the Cajuns favored by 15.5. Have you ever seen a 34 point shift from the opening of a line? I know I haven't! I am nervous about this, but I know that Louisiana is the better team, especially with star QB Dan Ellington now graduated to the coaching staff (which is a great hire, by the way). I'll take Louisiana.
Syracuse at (25)Pittsburgh(-21.5)(4): I rag on Kenny Pickett a lot, but Syracuse is just not a good team right now. They can't keep Tommy DeVito upright and they wont be able to stop the Pitt run game. Pitt wins BIG.
Houston at Baylor(-3.5)(3): I feel more comfortable betting the over at 62.5 than the spread here, but I still think Baylor wins by a touchdown. I like Houston's receivers better, but Baylor has better players on defense (allegedly). You wont know it when both teams score above 35 though. Give me the Bears.
Liberty at Western Kentucky(-14.5)(5): The Hilltoppers gave a valiant effort against Louisville, but this is the real coming out party for Tyrell Pigrome. How I wish this game was on the DraftKings slate this week. Oh, by the way, Liberty lost their best player in program history to the NFL in receiver Antonio Gandy-Golden and the QB that threw to him. Give me WKU big.
Navy at Tulane(-7.5)(2): This is a case of overcorrection. The Green Wave were lucky to get out of Mobile with a win. I think Navy's going to be ready in this one with two weeks to prepare. There's also going to be some fans on hand and not just high-ranking Admirals. I like Navy straight up.
Boston College at Duke(-6.5)(3): This line opened at -6 and hasn't budged. I'll give the point because I liked what I saw from Duke against a very good Irish defense. Chase Brice makes the difference here. Duke by double digits.
South Florida at (7)Notre Dame(-25.5)(1): I don't like this line at all. Notre Dame is definitely capable of covering this, but I don't know that they will. It's hard to put too much on this considering we haven't seen the Bulls play yet. That said, I have to think Duke is better than USF. Give me the Domers, but just barely.
© Provided by Fansided college football bettingBOCA RATON, FL – OCTOBER 26: Adrian Hardy #6 of the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs drops a pass in the endzone against the Florida Atlantic Owls during the first half at FAU Stadium on October 26, 2018 in Boca Raton, Florida. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)
College football betting picks night week 3
(14)Central Florida(-7.5) at Georgia Tech(3): I was hoping for a higher line, but I'm confident enough in what I saw from the Bees last week in Tallahassee to still think they win this outright in Atlanta. UCF is going to have a tough time without Mackenzie Milton. Gabriel is still prone to mistakes.
(23)Appalachian State(-4.5) at Marshall(1): I wont be one bit surprised if the Mountaineers lose this. Charlotte's defense gave them some trouble last week and Marshall's line is a ton better. I have questions about Marshall's offense, but I'll say they stay at least within a field goal at home. I'll follow the Herd.
Florida Atlantic at Georgia Southern(-2.5)(3): This line opened at -3 in favor of the Owls, but the game itself is in jeopardy now after 11 players and coaches for FAU popped positive for the Rona. As of now this game is still on, and this line is still way too low. Shai Werts and Oklahoma State transfer J.D. King are for real. They're going to run for another 300 combined yards in this one. Give me the Eagles.
Gambling College Football Picks Rankings
Troy(-3.5) at Middle Tennessee State(1): There's no word on if the Blue Raiders were actually extracted from the Blair Field turf and overnighted back to Murfreesboro. Troy? Well, they got whacked at home by Appalachian State. Both teams looked awful, but I'll take the Raiders at home. I don't know why. Home field advantage doesn't really exist in 2020.
SMU(-13.5) at North Texas(2): It's another road game for the Ponies against a mid-major. They almost lost outright in San Marcos. This isn't much of a road game just 30 minutes up I-35 in Denton, but the risk of a loss is still real here. I'll say SMU wins, but doesn't cover.
(17)Miami(FL) at (18)Louisville(-2.5)(2): This is going to be a great game. That's the only thing I know for sure. Miami hasn't had a good run in Louisville of late. In fact, they haven't won there since 1984. In the two games since, Louisville has spanked the Canes by a combined 62-20 in Louisville. The Cards want revenge for last year and I think they get it. I'll take Louisville, but not by more than a touchdown.
Louisiana Tech at Southern Mississippi(-5.5)(5): Yeah, I know the Aggies haven't played a game yet, but this team is loaded with offensive talent. No one gave South Alabama a chance in Hattiesburg either. I think La Tech walks in there and wins big. They return most of a team that shut out Miami in the bowl game last year. That's Miami Florida, not Ohio.
Gambling College Football Picks Against
Texas State(-5.5) at Louisiana-Monroe(2): We didn't learn much from watching the Warhawks get throttled at West Point last week. Texas State has looked good and have been a lot of fun to watch so far, but I don't know that they're ready to win a road game yet. If Brady McBride starts, I'll take the Bobcats. If not, I'll take the Bobcats and lower the bet to 1.
Wake Forest at North Carolina State(-2.5)(2): The Wolfpack return most skill players, including their three talented running backs, from last year. However, they haven't played a game yet. You could almost say that Wake hasn't either. Being the sacrificial lamb for Clemson didn't teach us much. However, it taught me enough. I'm going Wake straight up. Home field advantage doesn't exist, especially in North Carolina where you can't have any fans.
Stay tuned throughout the season for every college football game picked against the spread! I usually have my picks up about 24 hours before kickoff in order to get the most accurate spread possible. If I change one, I will update the article and post on Twitter if I can.
I ended up with three ones, six twos, five threes, a four, and I'm going bigger with two five pointers this week. Trying to make up for Iowa State punching a hole in my bank last week.